LendingClub $9.1B Deposit Growth

32% Origination Growth & Superior Underwriting Discipline

LendingClub delivered exceptional Q2 2025 results with 32% origination growth and 33% revenue growth, signaling continued strength in the alternative lending market. For business lenders, this report demonstrates that institutional capital remains available, credit performance can be maintained during growth, and marketplace models continue attracting investor demand.

LendingClub's performance validates the alternative lending sector's resilience and growth potential, particularly for lenders with strong underwriting capabilities and diversified funding sources.

Key Financial Performance

Metric

Q2 2025

Q2 2024

YoY Growth

Industry Context

Loan Originations

$2.4B

$1.8B

+32%

Market growing at 25.4% CAGR¹

Total Net Revenue

$248.4M

$187.2M

+33%

Alt lending platform market: $3.82B in 2024¹

Net Income

$38.2M

$14.9M

+156%

Strong profitability vs. peers

ROE

11.1%

N/A

N/A

Above 8% target set in 2025

ROTCE

11.8%

N/A

N/A

Exceeds target by 47%

Net Interest Margin

6.14%

5.75%

+39 bps

Industry competitive advantage

Diluted EPS

$0.33

$0.13

+154%

Outperformed analyst estimates

Credit Performance Analysis

Charge-Off Comparison: LendingClub vs. Traditional Banks

Institution

Q3 2024 NCO Ratio YoY Change

Current Performance

LendingClub

+30 bps

40% better than competitors²

Synchrony

+146 bps

Struggling with prime customers

Capital One

+71 bps

Credit card driven increases

JPMorgan Consumer

+36 bps

Moderate increases

Bank of America Consumer

+33 bps

Traditional bank levels

Key Insight: LendingClub's controlled credit deterioration (+30 bps) compared to peers like Synchrony (+146 bps) demonstrates superior underwriting discipline.

Credit Metrics Deep Dive

  • Net Charge-Offs: Improved to $31.8M from $66.8M YoY (52% reduction)

  • Provision for Credit Losses: $39.7M vs. $35.6M YoY (+11% increase due to loan retention)

  • Credit Outperformance: 40% better performance vs. competitor set³

  • AI-Powered Models: 150+ billion cells of proprietary data informing decisions³

Funding Partnerships: Institutional Capital Flows

Blue Owl Partnership Extension

  • Total Commitment: $3.4 billion over two years⁴

  • Immediate Phase: $600 million in first three months

  • Historical Performance: $2.4 billion already executed through SLCLC program

  • Program Success: Nearly $6 billion in total loan sales since April 2023 launch

New Institutional Relationships

  • BlackRock: First transaction completed under Fitch-rated Structured Certificates program

  • Program Innovation: Structured Certificates enable lower-cost capital attraction

  • Market Validation: Institutional demand remains strong despite economic uncertainty

Market Context: Alternative Lending Growth Trends

Global Market Sizing

Market Segment

2024 Value

2030/2031 Projection

CAGR

Alternative Lending Platform

$3.82B¹

$14.47B

25.4%

Alternative Lending Overall

$271.45B⁵

$731.79B

13.2%

Small Business Lending

N/A

$7.22T by 2032⁶

13.0%

Digital Lending

$10.25B⁶

$20.5B by 2026

~15%

Business Lending Opportunities

  • SBA Loan Growth: 70,000+ loans approved in 2024 ($31.1B total, +13% YoY)⁶

  • API-First Solutions: Expected to capture 40% of market by 2026⁶

  • Embedded Lending: $6.35B in US, projected $23.31B by 2031 (20.4% CAGR)⁶

Competitive Landscape Intelligence

LendingClub vs. Alternative Lenders (Q3 2024 Performance)

Lender

Origination Growth

Key Differentiators

LendingClub

+26.9% YoY

Bank charter, structured certificates

SoFi

+22.6% YoY

Strong personal loan focus

Upstart

+29.8% YoY

Model 18 driving conversion improvements

OneMain

+13.2% YoY

Higher APR strategy (26.8% average)

Funding Cost Advantages

  • LendingClub Deposits: $9.1B (+13% YoY), 86% FDIC-insured

  • Funding Cost: Deposit rates vs. warehouse facilities (8-12% for competitors)

  • Liquidity Position: $3.8B available liquidity

  • Capital Ratios: Tier 1 leverage 12.2%, CET1 capital 17.5%

Strategic Implications for Business Lenders

What This Means for Your Business

Positive Signals:

  1. Institutional Capital Availability: Blue Owl's $3.4B commitment shows institutional appetite remains strong

  2. Credit Differentiation Pays: 40% outperformance demonstrates value of superior underwriting

  3. Technology Investment ROI: AI-powered models using 150B+ data cells provide competitive advantage

  4. Marketplace Model Viability: Continued investor demand validates loan sale strategies

Competitive Pressures:

  1. Funding Advantage: Bank charter provides significant cost advantage over warehouse-dependent lenders

  2. Scale Benefits: $2.4B quarterly originations enable better pricing and partnerships

  3. Product Innovation: LevelUp Checking creates ecosystem stickiness

  4. Regulatory Readiness: CFPB supervision preparation shows compliance maturity

Action Items for Alternative Business Lenders

  1. Evaluate Funding Sources: Consider diversification beyond traditional warehouse facilities

  2. Investment in AI/Data: Superior credit models increasingly differentiate winners

  3. Partnership Strategy: Institutional relationships becoming critical for scale

  4. Product Ecosystem: Single-product lenders may face competitive disadvantage

  5. Regulatory Preparation: Enhanced supervision likely expanding across sector

Forward-Looking Indicators

Q3 2025 Guidance

  • Loan Originations: $2.5B - $2.6B

  • PPNR: $90M - $100M

  • ROTCE: 10% - 11.5%

Risk Factors to Monitor

  • Charge-Off Seasonality: Recent vintages expected to see modest NCO increases

  • Marketing Costs: 26% increase in marketing expenses impacting margins

  • Regulatory Oversight: Direct CFPB supervision expected in 2025

  • Economic Sensitivity: Performance through cycle remains to be proven

Data Sources and Citations

Our Opinion

The Blue Owl commitment and LendingClub's credit outperformance reveal two critical market realities: institutional capital is actively seeking alternative lending exposure, and superior underwriting creates measurable competitive advantages. While LendingClub benefits from structural advantages through their bank charter and deposit funding, their 40% better credit performance versus peers demonstrates that smart lending practices still matter more than cheap capital alone.

For alternative business lenders, this creates both opportunity and urgency. The institutional appetite is proven and available, but the performance bar is rising. Lenders who can demonstrate consistent credit discipline and build scalable loan sale programs will access this capital, while those competing solely on speed or convenience will get squeezed out. The window to establish these institutional relationships is open now, but it won't stay that way as more capital gets allocated.

1-Minute Video: Top 8 Secretary of State API Solutions for Verifying Businesses 2025

8 Secretary of State APIs exist - but only ONE delivers the freshest data.

While competitors serve cached information that's days or weeks old, you're making decisions on stale data.

Most business verification APIs access outdated databases. But what if you could verify a business registered or updated this morning?

Cobalt Intelligence is the ONLY Secretary of State API providing real-time access to state websites across all 50 states.

These are the Top 8 Secretary of State API Solutions for Verifying Businesses

  1. Middesk

  2. Cobalt Intelligence

  3. Signzy

  4. Trulioo

  5. Dan & Bradstreet

  6. Experian

  7. LexisNexis

  8. Equifax 

Don't settle for yesterday's information. Choose Cobalt Intelligence and make decisions with confidence.

Subscribe to our Beyond Banks Podcast Channels

Headlines You Don’t Want to Miss

NewtekOne is accelerating its strategic growth in Alternative Loan Program (ALP) lending, projecting $250 million in ALP originations for the second half of 2025 while leveraging expanded warehouse and credit facilities to support this momentum. Combined with robust deposit growth—up 97% year-over-year—and efficient digital banking operations, the company is strongly positioned for sustained earnings growth and increased market capture through 2025.

Algebrik AI and AppOne have announced a partnership to integrate AppOne's dealer platform with Algebrik One's AI-powered lending suite, allowing dealers to submit credit applications directly and receive instant decisions from lenders without leaving the AppOne interface. This collaboration streamlines the indirect lending process for credit unions and community banks, enabling faster, compliant loan origination and expanding lending capabilities for dealers and lenders alike

Harley-Davidson has signed a $5 billion deal to sell a nearly 10% stake in its consumer lending division, Harley-Davidson Financial Services, as well as over $5 billion in retail loans to KKR and PIMCO. The transaction will reduce Harley's debt by $450 million, return $500 million to shareholders, and strengthen the company's financial position while it retains oversight of its financing arm.

Get Free Access to our Cobalt Modern Underwriter GPT

Get Free Access to our Alternative Funding Expert GPT

Get Free Access to our AI Credit Risk Tool

Create an account to Get Free Access to our Secretary of State AI Tool

Subscribe on our YouTube Channel here

See us on LinkedIn